Sports Betting University

10 min · Free

Vig, hold and fair pricing

Why both sides add up to more than 100%, and how to strip that out.

In a two-way market priced -110 / -110, each side implies 52.38%. Together that is 104.76% — the extra 4.76% is the margin, usually called vig or hold.

To de-vig, divide each implied probability by the total. 52.38 / 104.76 = 50%. That gives the market's opinion with the margin removed, which is the number worth comparing your own view to.

The same game can carry 2% hold in one place and 6% in another. That difference compounds far faster than most people expect.

This is why comparing prices matters more than picking winners for most people: the price you take is the part you can actually control.

Key points

  • Two-way -110 / -110 carries roughly 4.76% hold.
  • De-vig by dividing each implied probability by the market total.
  • Lower hold beats better opinions over a long sample.

Quiz

Score 70% or better to pass this lesson.

1. Two sides imply 55% and 50%. What is the hold?

2. De-vigged, what is the 55% side worth in that market?

3. Why does hold matter so much?

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